Valdosta, Georgia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

346
FXUS62 KTAE 150651
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
251 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 215 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

Hot conditions are expected today with upper level ridging nudging
westward from the western Atlantic. Despite this ridging, a few weak
vort maxima in the area combined with precipitable water values near
or over 2 inches should allow for scattered afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Given the high moisture content, dewpoints are not
expected to mix out a whole lot this afternoon. Looking at what
happened Thursday, the KTLH dewpoint remained around 75F through the
afternoon. Similar conditions are expected today with high
temperatures a couple of degrees warmer. Scattered convection is
expected to hold off long enough that we are expecting to reach our
local heat advisory criteria of 108F over most of the area today.
After coordination with surrounding offices, a heat advisory has
been issued for all but the northern couple of rows of counties.

Scattered convection will diminish overnight with lows remaining
muggy in the mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 215 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

A subtropical ridge looks to continue sliding westward across the
Gulf, then northwest over the next several days before settling over
Missouri and Arkansas by late Saturday, remaining there through
midweek. This will cause the prevailing flow to go from
southwesterly through most of Saturday to north-northeasterly late
Saturday through Wednesday. As we begin to transition to northerly
flow late Saturday afternoon, we`ll start to see 2+ inch PWAT air
confined generally to our Florida and first row of southern GA
counties. Sunday into Monday low PWAT air from the northeast will
begin to mix out the moist air in place, essentially confining PWATs
around 2 inches to areas along the Gulf coast. By Tuesday this drier
air from the northeast fully mixes in and we`ll see PWATs around 1.5
to just below 2 inches across the region.

This means most of our showers and storms will remain close to the
Florida state line and areas south of that over the next several
days. On Tuesday and Wednesday we`ll see suppressed shower and storm
activity as drier air moves in, bringing PoPs below normal. On
Thursday we`ll begin to see troughing start to establish itself over
eastern CONUS as the ridge shifts further west. This will
reestablish southwesterly flow and increase our PoP chances heading
into the second half of next week.

Expect daytime highs to generally remain in the low to mid 90s with
overnight lows generally in the low to mid 70s. It could possibly
take some time for storms to break through the subtropical ridge
capping inversion as it moves across the Gulf over the next couple
of days. This may lead to convective initiation later in the
afternoon, possibly allowing just enough solar heating to combine
with southwesterly flow to reach heat advisory criteria again on
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 215 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

VFR conditions should prevail through most of the TAF period.
However, some brief MVFR conditions are possible early this morning
at VLD. There will also be scattered showers and thunderstorms
during the afternoon hours today with brief restrictions in any
convection that develops, mainly from 19-23z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 215 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

A subtropical ridge axis will continue to expand over the Eastern
Gulf today, supporting gentle west to northwesterly breezes along
the northeast Gulf. Winds then clock around out of the east-
northeast Sunday into early next week. Overall, favorable boating
conditions will prevail as high pressure dominates over the next few
days. Showers and thunderstorms remain possible each day.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 215 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

Fire weather concerns remain rather low through the weekend.
Hot conditions are expected today and Saturday with heat indices
pushing 107 to 112 degrees across most of our districts. Transport
winds will generally be out of the west today before turning more
northwesterly to northeasterly as a weak front moves into the region
over the weekend. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are
expected each afternoon through at least Sunday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 215 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

There are currently no riverine flooding concerns over the next
several days. Diurnal showers and storms may lead to localized
instances of flash flooding due to heavy downpours, particularly
impacting areas with poor drainage.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   94  77  94  76 /  50  10  50  20
Panama City   92  78  93  77 /  50  10  40  20
Dothan        93  75  94  75 /  40  10  40  10
Albany        95  76  94  75 /  30  20  40  20
Valdosta      96  76  95  75 /  40  10  50  30
Cross City    96  76  96  75 /  50  20  70  40
Apalachicola  90  78  90  78 /  40  10  40  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ this morning to 7 PM
     EDT /6 PM CDT/ this evening for FLZ007>019-027>029-034-108-
     112-114-115-118-127-128-134-326-426.

GA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM EDT this evening
     for GAZ142>148-155>161.

AL...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM CDT this evening
     for ALZ065>069.

GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Oliver